Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

There's one month until the NCAA Tournament selection show and there are still many teams battling to get off the bubble and into the field. South Florida (18-8) has won seven straight games, including a triple-overtime victory over Rice last week,

The Quad 1 win, earned without the services of second-leading scorer Cam Hildreth, not only repaired the damage caused by the Florida State meltdown — it catapulted the Deacons up to No. 58 in the NCAA’s NET rankings. Eight spots higher than they started the week.

NCAA tournament bubble watch time, and several teams are fighting to earn one of the 37 at-large bids. At least temporarily, with the disbandment of the Pac-12, one more at-large bid is available this year.